Integrated Energy Planning in New York State

A new report released by Advanced Energy United and Current Energy Group, finds that siloed gas and electric planning at New York utilities is creating major financial burden for customers and could drive unnecessary utility spending as New Yorkers face skyrocketing energy bills. 

The case study identifies a significant disconnect between one utility’s gas and electric planning forecasts. While National Grid’s electric forecast anticipates rapid adoption of electric heating, its gas forecast assumes far fewer customers will switch to heat pumps, leading to overbuilding. 

• National Grid employs diverging assumptions about heat pump deployment across the gas and electric sides of the utility.
• By 2030, National Grid’s electric load forecast assumes over 30,000 more heat pump installations than the gas load forecast.
• If National Grid gas adopted the heat pump assumptions already used in its electric load forecast, the utility would project a 3% lower gas customer count by 2029 (15,000 fewer customers), compared to its current gas forecast.
• Despite this, National Grid forecasts spending approximately $550 million from 2025 to 2029 to support customer growth assumptions.

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